Air Force vs San Diego State 10/16/2010

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Air Force is a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat San Diego State. Jared Tew is projected for 108 rushing yards and a 58% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where San Diego State wins, Ryan Lindley averages 1.49 TD passes vs 1.1 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.74 TDs to 1.37 interceptions. Ronnie Hillman averages 115 rushing yards and 1.52 rushing TDs when San Diego State wins and 96 yards and 0.84 TDs in losses. Air Force has a 62% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SDST +3.5

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